Finn Murgett vs Ian Mayew Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In assessing the potential outcome of the upcoming tennis match between Murgett and Mayew, several key statistics from their recent performances provide insightful predictions. Murgett's strong second serve is reflected in the fact that, over the past six months, they have secured 56.18% of points on their second serve. In contrast, Mayew's corresponding percentage is notably lower at 40.68%. This discrepancy in second serve performance is a critical indicator when forecasting match results.

Examining return game statistics, Murgett has won 46.03% of points on their opponent's second serve, whereas Mayew has achieved a marginally higher 46.88%. However, when considering the first serve return success rates, Murgett outshines Mayew with 26.21% compared to Mayew's 15.96%. Such statistics carry significant weight when identifying the likely favorite in direct head-to-head (H2H) matchups.

Under pressure, Murgett has managed to save 50% of breakpoints in recent encounters, while Mayew's breakpoint save percentage stands at 47.83%. This measure is particularly valuable for those engaged in in-game betting. Furthermore, over the last year, Murgett boasts a 60% match win rate (6/4), compared to Mayew's 33.33% (3/6), providing an overall head-to-head prediction overview in Murgett's favor.

Assessing surface preferences, Murgett excels on grass with a career win rate of 64% (7/4), whereas Mayew's best surface is hard courts with a 50% win rate (2/2). Despite their respective surface affinities, their head-to-head record leans towards Murgett, who has won the sole previous encounter, a match that spanned three sets at the M 25 Bakersfield on March 19, 2025.

Analyzing extreme pressure situations, Murgett and Mayew have yet to engage in a tiebreak, illustrating an area of uncertainty. However, in deciding sets over the past 12 months against all players, both have a win rate of 50%. This parity is intriguing for live bettors should this match extend to a deciding set.

Murgett's performance against higher-ranked opponents, featuring an average rank of 270.7 compared to Mayew's 307.11, suggests that Murgett is more accustomed to facing tougher competition. Meanwhile, in terms of breakpoint conversion, Murgett holds a significant edge, converting 50% of opportunities compared to Mayew's 0% in recent outings.

Taking all these factors into account, Murgett's higher statistical output across various key metrics positions them as the prospective victor for this upcoming match. Their consistency in match performance, capacity to manage pressure situations, and superior historical performance against Mayew are compelling reasons to favor Murgett in this anticipated encounter.